Over 2.5 goals tips today
Over 2.5 goals wins when a match has three goals or more. The table ranks today's and tomorrow's matches by the model's over 2.5 probability, with the bookmaker odds.
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How the over 2.5 goals probability is calculated
From each team's attack and defence ratings the model expects a number of goals for both sides. Adding up every scoreline with three or more goals in the resulting score grid gives the over 2.5 probability; the rest is under 2.5.
Expected goals and over/under
As a rule of thumb, matches with combined expected goals above about 3.0 lean over 2.5, and matches below about 2.4 lean under. Open a match to see both teams' expected goals and the probabilities for over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals.
Frequently asked questions
What does over 2.5 goals mean?
The bet wins if the match has at least three goals in total, from either team. Two goals or fewer is under 2.5.
Which leagues have the most over 2.5 goals?
Goal rates change every season. The table above ranks today's matches by the model's probability, which already accounts for each team's current scoring and conceding.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.