AI football predictions from a statistical model
Not an opinion, not a chatbot: our predictions come from a statistical goals model that rates every team from its results. Below are its win, draw and loss probabilities for today's and tomorrow's matches.
Loading…
What kind of AI is behind the predictions?
A Dixon-Coles goals model, a well-known statistical method for football. It is fitted per league on the last two seasons, weights recent matches more (half-life about one year) and pulls extreme team ratings towards the league average. It is not a large language model and it does not read news.
From model probabilities to tips
The model's probabilities are shown on every match page. To choose the daily tips we rank selections by the bookmakers' margin-free probability, which proved more accurate than the model alone in our testing.
Frequently asked questions
Are AI football predictions accurate?
They are calibrated estimates, not certainties. A model can tell you a team wins 60% of such matches, but not which 60%.
Can I see the model's prediction for any match?
Yes. Every match page shows the model's probabilities for the result, goals, both teams to score and half time, except matches that carry a VIP tip.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.