Germany – Bundesliga
8 November 2026 · 14:30
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.74
Our statistical model gives 1. FC Köln a 31% chance of beating Bayer Leverkusen, puts the draw at 24% and an away win at 45%. It expects 1.42 goals from 1. FC Köln and 1.74 from Bayer Leverkusen, which makes over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The most likely result is away win at 45%.
Final score: 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives 1. FC Köln a 31% chance of beating Bayer Leverkusen, puts the draw at 24% and an away win at 45%. It expects 1.42 goals from 1. FC Köln and 1.74 from Bayer Leverkusen, which makes over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61%, based on expected goals of 1.42 for 1. FC Köln and 1.74 for Bayer Leverkusen.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 63%.
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