England – Premier League
8 November 2026 · 14:00
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.36 – 1.80
Our statistical model gives Ipswich a 28% chance of beating Bournemouth, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 47%. It expects 1.36 goals from Ipswich and 1.80 from Bournemouth, which makes over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The most likely result is away win at 47%.
Final score: Ipswich 1-2 Bournemouth.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Ipswich a 28% chance of beating Bournemouth, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 47%. It expects 1.36 goals from Ipswich and 1.80 from Bournemouth, which makes over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61%, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Ipswich and 1.80 for Bournemouth.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 63%.
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