France – Ligue 1
8 November 2026 · 14:00
HT 1 : 1
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.33
Our statistical model gives Rennes a 38% chance of beating Lille, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 35%. It expects 1.41 goals from Rennes and 1.33 from Lille, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The most likely result is home win at 38%.
Final score: Rennes 1-2 Lille.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Rennes a 38% chance of beating Lille, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 35%. It expects 1.41 goals from Rennes and 1.33 from Lille, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Rennes and 1.33 for Lille.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 56%.
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