Netherlands – Eredivisie
8 November 2026 · 13:30
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.37
Our statistical model gives Twente a 40% chance of beating Ajax, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.52 goals from Twente and 1.37 from Ajax, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 59%.
The most likely result is home win at 40%.
Final score: Twente 2-2 Ajax.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Twente a 40% chance of beating Ajax, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.52 goals from Twente and 1.37 from Ajax, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 59%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55%, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Twente and 1.37 for Ajax.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 59%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.