Italy – Serie A
8 November 2026 · 11:30
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.06
Our statistical model gives Napoli a 43% chance of beating Lazio, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 30%. It expects 1.34 goals from Napoli and 1.06 from Lazio, which makes over 2.5 goals 43% likely and both teams to score 48%.
The most likely result is home win at 43%.
Final score: Napoli 1-1 Lazio.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Napoli a 43% chance of beating Lazio, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 30%. It expects 1.34 goals from Napoli and 1.06 from Lazio, which makes over 2.5 goals 43% likely and both teams to score 48%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 43%, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Napoli and 1.06 for Lazio.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 48%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.