England – Championship
3 November 2026 · 20:00
HT 3 : 0
Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.08
Our statistical model gives Birmingham a 44% chance of beating Millwall, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.39 goals from Birmingham and 1.08 from Millwall, which makes over 2.5 goals 45% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The most likely result is home win at 44%.
Final score: Birmingham 3-0 Millwall.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Birmingham a 44% chance of beating Millwall, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.39 goals from Birmingham and 1.08 from Millwall, which makes over 2.5 goals 45% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 45%, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Birmingham and 1.08 for Millwall.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 50%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.