England – Championship
3 November 2026 · 19:45
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.13
Our statistical model gives Watford a 44% chance of beating Lincoln, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.44 goals from Watford and 1.13 from Lincoln, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely result is home win at 44%.
Final score: Watford 1-0 Lincoln.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Watford a 44% chance of beating Lincoln, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.44 goals from Watford and 1.13 from Lincoln, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Watford and 1.13 for Lincoln.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 52%.
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