England – Championship
3 November 2026 · 19:45
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.40 – 1.32
Our statistical model gives QPR a 38% chance of beating Burnley, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 35%. It expects 1.40 goals from QPR and 1.32 from Burnley, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The most likely result is home win at 38%.
Final score: QPR 1-1 Burnley.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives QPR a 38% chance of beating Burnley, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 35%. It expects 1.40 goals from QPR and 1.32 from Burnley, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%, based on expected goals of 1.40 for QPR and 1.32 for Burnley.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 56%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.