England – Championship
3 November 2026 · 19:45
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.28 – 1.18
Our statistical model gives Portsmouth a 38% chance of beating Swansea, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.28 goals from Portsmouth and 1.18 from Swansea, which makes over 2.5 goals 45% likely and both teams to score 51%.
The most likely result is home win at 38%.
Final score: Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Portsmouth a 38% chance of beating Swansea, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.28 goals from Portsmouth and 1.18 from Swansea, which makes over 2.5 goals 45% likely and both teams to score 51%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 45%, based on expected goals of 1.28 for Portsmouth and 1.18 for Swansea.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 51%.
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