Italy – Serie A
2 November 2026 · 19:45
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.54 – 0.77
Our statistical model gives Atalanta a 56% chance of beating Parma, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 19%. It expects 1.54 goals from Atalanta and 0.77 from Parma, which makes over 2.5 goals 41% likely and both teams to score 42%.
The most likely result is home win at 56%.
Final score: Atalanta 0-3 Parma.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Atalanta a 56% chance of beating Parma, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 19%. It expects 1.54 goals from Atalanta and 0.77 from Parma, which makes over 2.5 goals 41% likely and both teams to score 42%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 41%, based on expected goals of 1.54 for Atalanta and 0.77 for Parma.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 42%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.