Spain – La Liga
1 November 2026 · 20:00
HT 2 : 1
Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.17
Our statistical model gives Athletic Club a 47% chance of beating Real Sociedad, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.62 goals from Athletic Club and 1.17 from Real Sociedad, which makes over 2.5 goals 53% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The most likely result is home win at 47%.
Final score: Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Athletic Club a 47% chance of beating Real Sociedad, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.62 goals from Athletic Club and 1.17 from Real Sociedad, which makes over 2.5 goals 53% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53%, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Athletic Club and 1.17 for Real Sociedad.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 56%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.