Italy – Serie A
1 November 2026 · 17:00
HT 1 : 2
Expected goals: 0.96 – 1.15
Our statistical model gives Lecce a 30% chance of beating Genoa, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 40%. It expects 0.96 goals from Lecce and 1.15 from Genoa, which makes over 2.5 goals 35% likely and both teams to score 42%.
The most likely result is away win at 40%.
Final score: Lecce 1-2 Genoa.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Lecce a 30% chance of beating Genoa, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 40%. It expects 0.96 goals from Lecce and 1.15 from Genoa, which makes over 2.5 goals 35% likely and both teams to score 42%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 35%, based on expected goals of 0.96 for Lecce and 1.15 for Genoa.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 42%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.