Netherlands – Eredivisie
1 November 2026 · 15:45
HT 2 : 2
Expected goals: 1.89 – 1.23
Our statistical model gives Groningen a 52% chance of beating Sparta Rotterdam, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 24%. It expects 1.89 goals from Groningen and 1.23 from Sparta Rotterdam, which makes over 2.5 goals 60% likely and both teams to score 61%.
The most likely result is home win at 52%.
Final score: Groningen 2-3 Sparta Rotterdam.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Groningen a 52% chance of beating Sparta Rotterdam, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 24%. It expects 1.89 goals from Groningen and 1.23 from Sparta Rotterdam, which makes over 2.5 goals 60% likely and both teams to score 61%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60%, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Groningen and 1.23 for Sparta Rotterdam.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 61%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.