Italy – Serie A
1 November 2026 · 14:00
HT 1 : 1
Expected goals: 1.49 – 0.93
Our statistical model gives Lazio a 50% chance of beating Cagliari, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 24%. It expects 1.49 goals from Lazio and 0.93 from Cagliari, which makes over 2.5 goals 44% likely and both teams to score 47%.
The most likely result is home win at 50%.
Final score: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Lazio a 50% chance of beating Cagliari, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 24%. It expects 1.49 goals from Lazio and 0.93 from Cagliari, which makes over 2.5 goals 44% likely and both teams to score 47%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44%, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Lazio and 0.93 for Cagliari.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 47%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.