Netherlands – Eredivisie
1 November 2026 · 13:30
HT 3 : 1
Expected goals: 1.55 – 1.54
Our statistical model gives Telstar a 37% chance of beating Utrecht, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 37%. It expects 1.55 goals from Telstar and 1.54 from Utrecht, which makes over 2.5 goals 60% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The most likely result is home win at 37%.
Final score: Telstar 4-2 Utrecht.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Telstar a 37% chance of beating Utrecht, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 37%. It expects 1.55 goals from Telstar and 1.54 from Utrecht, which makes over 2.5 goals 60% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60%, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Telstar and 1.54 for Utrecht.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 63%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.