France – Ligue 1
31 October 2026 · 19:45
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.53
Our statistical model gives Estac Troyes a 26% chance of beating Le Mans, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 48%. It expects 1.06 goals from Estac Troyes and 1.53 from Le Mans, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely result is away win at 48%.
Final score: Estac Troyes 2-0 Le Mans.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Estac Troyes a 26% chance of beating Le Mans, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 48%. It expects 1.06 goals from Estac Troyes and 1.53 from Le Mans, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48%, based on expected goals of 1.06 for Estac Troyes and 1.53 for Le Mans.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 52%.
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