Spain – La Liga
31 October 2026 · 15:15
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.12
Our statistical model gives Rayo Vallecano a 38% chance of beating Celta Vigo, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.22 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.12 from Celta Vigo, which makes over 2.5 goals 41% likely and both teams to score 48%.
The most likely result is home win at 38%.
Final score: Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta Vigo.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Rayo Vallecano a 38% chance of beating Celta Vigo, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.22 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.12 from Celta Vigo, which makes over 2.5 goals 41% likely and both teams to score 48%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 41%, based on expected goals of 1.22 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.12 for Celta Vigo.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 48%.
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