England – League One
31 October 2026 · 15:00
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.00
Our statistical model gives Mansfield Town a 45% chance of beating Notts County, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.37 goals from Mansfield Town and 1.00 from Notts County, which makes over 2.5 goals 42% likely and both teams to score 47%.
The most likely result is home win at 45%.
Final score: Mansfield Town 0-2 Notts County.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Mansfield Town a 45% chance of beating Notts County, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.37 goals from Mansfield Town and 1.00 from Notts County, which makes over 2.5 goals 42% likely and both teams to score 47%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 42%, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Mansfield Town and 1.00 for Notts County.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 47%.
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