England – League Two
31 October 2026 · 15:00
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 0.80 – 0.69
Our statistical model gives Salford City a 35% chance of beating Exeter City, puts the draw at 37% and an away win at 28%. It expects 0.80 goals from Salford City and 0.69 from Exeter City, which makes over 2.5 goals 19% likely and both teams to score 28%.
The most likely result is draw at 37%.
Final score: Salford City 2-1 Exeter City.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Salford City a 35% chance of beating Exeter City, puts the draw at 37% and an away win at 28%. It expects 0.80 goals from Salford City and 0.69 from Exeter City, which makes over 2.5 goals 19% likely and both teams to score 28%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 19%, based on expected goals of 0.80 for Salford City and 0.69 for Exeter City.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 28%.
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