England – League Two
31 October 2026 · 15:00
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 0.90 – 0.70
Our statistical model gives Accrington ST a 38% chance of beating Northampton, puts the draw at 36% and an away win at 26%. It expects 0.90 goals from Accrington ST and 0.70 from Northampton, which makes over 2.5 goals 21% likely and both teams to score 30%.
The most likely result is home win at 38%.
Final score: Accrington ST 1-1 Northampton.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Accrington ST a 38% chance of beating Northampton, puts the draw at 36% and an away win at 26%. It expects 0.90 goals from Accrington ST and 0.70 from Northampton, which makes over 2.5 goals 21% likely and both teams to score 30%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 21%, based on expected goals of 0.90 for Accrington ST and 0.70 for Northampton.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 30%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.