England – Championship
31 October 2026 · 15:00
HT 2 : 0
Expected goals: 1.70 – 0.85
Our statistical model gives Middlesbrough a 57% chance of beating Charlton, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 18%. It expects 1.70 goals from Middlesbrough and 0.85 from Charlton, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 47%.
The most likely result is home win at 57%.
Final score: Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Middlesbrough a 57% chance of beating Charlton, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 18%. It expects 1.70 goals from Middlesbrough and 0.85 from Charlton, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 47%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Middlesbrough and 0.85 for Charlton.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 47%.
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