England – Premier League
31 October 2026 · 15:00
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.45 – 1.15
Our statistical model gives Bournemouth a 43% chance of beating Leeds, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.45 goals from Bournemouth and 1.15 from Leeds, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 54%.
The most likely result is home win at 43%.
Final score: Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Bournemouth a 43% chance of beating Leeds, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.45 goals from Bournemouth and 1.15 from Leeds, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 54%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48%, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Bournemouth and 1.15 for Leeds.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 54%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.