Germany – Bundesliga
31 October 2026 · 14:30
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.39
Our statistical model gives FC Augsburg a 42% chance of beating SC Freiburg, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.58 goals from FC Augsburg and 1.39 from SC Freiburg, which makes over 2.5 goals 57% likely and both teams to score 60%.
The most likely result is home win at 42%.
Final score: FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives FC Augsburg a 42% chance of beating SC Freiburg, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.58 goals from FC Augsburg and 1.39 from SC Freiburg, which makes over 2.5 goals 57% likely and both teams to score 60%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57%, based on expected goals of 1.58 for FC Augsburg and 1.39 for SC Freiburg.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 60%.
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