Italy – Serie A
31 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 1 : 1
Expected goals: 2.06 – 1.15
Our statistical model gives Bologna a 58% chance of beating Monza, puts the draw at 21% and an away win at 21%. It expects 2.06 goals from Bologna and 1.15 from Monza, which makes over 2.5 goals 62% likely and both teams to score 59%.
The most likely result is home win at 58%.
Final score: Bologna 2-1 Monza.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Bologna a 58% chance of beating Monza, puts the draw at 21% and an away win at 21%. It expects 2.06 goals from Bologna and 1.15 from Monza, which makes over 2.5 goals 62% likely and both teams to score 59%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62%, based on expected goals of 2.06 for Bologna and 1.15 for Monza.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 59%.
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