France – Ligue 1
30 October 2026 · 20:05
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.15
Our statistical model gives Lille a 41% chance of beating Lens, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 31%. It expects 1.38 goals from Lille and 1.15 from Lens, which makes over 2.5 goals 46% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely result is home win at 41%.
Final score: Lille 1-0 Lens.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Lille a 41% chance of beating Lens, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 31%. It expects 1.38 goals from Lille and 1.15 from Lens, which makes over 2.5 goals 46% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46%, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Lille and 1.15 for Lens.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 52%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.