England – Championship
30 October 2026 · 20:00
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.25
Our statistical model gives Sheffield Utd a 46% chance of beating Wrexham, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.63 goals from Sheffield Utd and 1.25 from Wrexham, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 58%.
The most likely result is home win at 46%.
Final score: Sheffield Utd 1-0 Wrexham.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Sheffield Utd a 46% chance of beating Wrexham, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.63 goals from Sheffield Utd and 1.25 from Wrexham, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 58%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55%, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Sheffield Utd and 1.25 for Wrexham.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 58%.
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