France – Ligue 1
30 October 2026 · 18:00
HT 3 : 1
Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.52
Our statistical model gives Nice a 36% chance of beating Rennes, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 38%. It expects 1.48 goals from Nice and 1.52 from Rennes, which makes over 2.5 goals 58% likely and both teams to score 61%.
The most likely result is away win at 38%.
Final score: Nice 5-2 Rennes.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Nice a 36% chance of beating Rennes, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 38%. It expects 1.48 goals from Nice and 1.52 from Rennes, which makes over 2.5 goals 58% likely and both teams to score 61%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58%, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Nice and 1.52 for Rennes.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 61%.
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