France – Ligue 1
30 October 2026 · 18:00
HT 1 : 2
Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.79
Our statistical model gives Le Havre a 19% chance of beating Paris Saint Germain, puts the draw at 24% and an away win at 57%. It expects 0.94 goals from Le Havre and 1.79 from Paris Saint Germain, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 51%.
The most likely result is away win at 57%.
Final score: Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint Germain.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Le Havre a 19% chance of beating Paris Saint Germain, puts the draw at 24% and an away win at 57%. It expects 0.94 goals from Le Havre and 1.79 from Paris Saint Germain, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 51%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%, based on expected goals of 0.94 for Le Havre and 1.79 for Paris Saint Germain.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 51%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.