Spain – La Liga
26 October 2026 · 20:00
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.55 – 1.12
Our statistical model gives Sevilla a 47% chance of beating Osasuna, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.55 goals from Sevilla and 1.12 from Osasuna, which makes over 2.5 goals 50% likely and both teams to score 54%.
The most likely result is home win at 47%.
Final score: Sevilla 2-0 Osasuna.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Sevilla a 47% chance of beating Osasuna, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.55 goals from Sevilla and 1.12 from Osasuna, which makes over 2.5 goals 50% likely and both teams to score 54%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50%, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Sevilla and 1.12 for Osasuna.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 54%.
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