Portugal – Primeira Liga
26 October 2026 · 18:45
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 0.86 – 1.46
Our statistical model gives Santa Clara a 23% chance of beating Benfica, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 52%. It expects 0.86 goals from Santa Clara and 1.46 from Benfica, which makes over 2.5 goals 41% likely and both teams to score 44%.
The most likely result is away win at 52%.
Final score: Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Santa Clara a 23% chance of beating Benfica, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 52%. It expects 0.86 goals from Santa Clara and 1.46 from Benfica, which makes over 2.5 goals 41% likely and both teams to score 44%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 41%, based on expected goals of 0.86 for Santa Clara and 1.46 for Benfica.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 44%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.