Turkey – Süper Lig
26 October 2026 · 16:00
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.69 – 1.18
Our statistical model gives Beşiktaş a 48% chance of beating Başakşehir, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 25%. It expects 1.69 goals from Beşiktaş and 1.18 from Başakşehir, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 57%.
The most likely result is home win at 48%.
Final score: Beşiktaş 2-0 Başakşehir.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Beşiktaş a 48% chance of beating Başakşehir, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 25%. It expects 1.69 goals from Beşiktaş and 1.18 from Başakşehir, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 57%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55%, based on expected goals of 1.69 for Beşiktaş and 1.18 for Başakşehir.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 57%.
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