Italy – Serie A
25 October 2026 · 19:45
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.49
Our statistical model gives Udinese a 27% chance of beating AC Milan, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 47%. It expects 1.06 goals from Udinese and 1.49 from AC Milan, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The most likely result is away win at 47%.
Final score: Udinese 0-2 AC Milan.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Udinese a 27% chance of beating AC Milan, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 47%. It expects 1.06 goals from Udinese and 1.49 from AC Milan, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, based on expected goals of 1.06 for Udinese and 1.49 for AC Milan.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 50%.
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