Belgium – Jupiler Pro League
25 October 2026 · 18:15
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 2.20 – 0.71
Our statistical model gives Union St. Gilloise a 71% chance of beating Cercle Brugge, puts the draw at 19% and an away win at 10%. It expects 2.20 goals from Union St. Gilloise and 0.71 from Cercle Brugge, which makes over 2.5 goals 56% likely and both teams to score 46%.
The most likely result is home win at 71%.
Final score: Union St. Gilloise 5-2 Cercle Brugge.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Union St. Gilloise a 71% chance of beating Cercle Brugge, puts the draw at 19% and an away win at 10%. It expects 2.20 goals from Union St. Gilloise and 0.71 from Cercle Brugge, which makes over 2.5 goals 56% likely and both teams to score 46%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56%, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.71 for Cercle Brugge.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 46%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.