Italy – Serie A
25 October 2026 · 17:00
HT 0 : 2
Expected goals: 0.84 – 1.43
Our statistical model gives Lecce a 22% chance of beating Juventus, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 51%. It expects 0.84 goals from Lecce and 1.43 from Juventus, which makes over 2.5 goals 40% likely and both teams to score 43%.
The most likely result is away win at 51%.
Final score: Lecce 0-2 Juventus.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Lecce a 22% chance of beating Juventus, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 51%. It expects 0.84 goals from Lecce and 1.43 from Juventus, which makes over 2.5 goals 40% likely and both teams to score 43%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 40%, based on expected goals of 0.84 for Lecce and 1.43 for Juventus.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 43%.
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