Germany – Bundesliga
25 October 2026 · 16:30
HT 0 : 2
Expected goals: 1.33 – 2.26
Our statistical model gives SC Freiburg a 22% chance of beating Bayern München, puts the draw at 21% and an away win at 58%. It expects 1.33 goals from SC Freiburg and 2.26 from Bayern München, which makes over 2.5 goals 70% likely and both teams to score 66%.
The most likely result is away win at 58%.
Final score: SC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern München.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives SC Freiburg a 22% chance of beating Bayern München, puts the draw at 21% and an away win at 58%. It expects 1.33 goals from SC Freiburg and 2.26 from Bayern München, which makes over 2.5 goals 70% likely and both teams to score 66%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 70%, based on expected goals of 1.33 for SC Freiburg and 2.26 for Bayern München.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 66%.
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