France – Ligue 1
25 October 2026 · 16:15
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.29
Our statistical model gives Auxerre a 47% chance of beating Le Mans, puts the draw at 24% and an away win at 28%. It expects 1.73 goals from Auxerre and 1.29 from Le Mans, which makes over 2.5 goals 58% likely and both teams to score 60%.
The most likely result is home win at 47%.
Final score: Auxerre 1-1 Le Mans.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Auxerre a 47% chance of beating Le Mans, puts the draw at 24% and an away win at 28%. It expects 1.73 goals from Auxerre and 1.29 from Le Mans, which makes over 2.5 goals 58% likely and both teams to score 60%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58%, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Auxerre and 1.29 for Le Mans.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 60%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.