Germany – Bundesliga
25 October 2026 · 14:30
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.77
Our statistical model gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 35% chance of beating Bayer Leverkusen, puts the draw at 23% and an away win at 41%. It expects 1.62 goals from 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.77 from Bayer Leverkusen, which makes over 2.5 goals 66% likely and both teams to score 67%.
The most likely result is away win at 41%.
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 35% chance of beating Bayer Leverkusen, puts the draw at 23% and an away win at 41%. It expects 1.62 goals from 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.77 from Bayer Leverkusen, which makes over 2.5 goals 66% likely and both teams to score 67%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 66%, based on expected goals of 1.62 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.77 for Bayer Leverkusen.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 67%.
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