England – Premier League
25 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.43
Our statistical model gives Crystal Palace a 37% chance of beating Newcastle, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 36%. It expects 1.46 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.43 from Newcastle, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 60%.
The most likely result is home win at 37%.
Final score: Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Crystal Palace a 37% chance of beating Newcastle, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 36%. It expects 1.46 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.43 from Newcastle, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 60%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55%, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Crystal Palace and 1.43 for Newcastle.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 60%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.