France – Ligue 1
25 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 0 : 1
Expected goals: 1.40 – 1.21
Our statistical model gives Monaco a 41% chance of beating Lille, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 32%. It expects 1.40 goals from Monaco and 1.21 from Lille, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 53%.
The most likely result is home win at 41%.
Final score: Monaco 1-1 Lille.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Monaco a 41% chance of beating Lille, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 32%. It expects 1.40 goals from Monaco and 1.21 from Lille, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 53%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48%, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Monaco and 1.21 for Lille.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 53%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.