Netherlands – Eredivisie
25 October 2026 · 13:30
HT 0 : 2
Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.43
Our statistical model gives NEC Nijmegen a 47% chance of beating Groningen, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 28%. It expects 1.88 goals from NEC Nijmegen and 1.43 from Groningen, which makes over 2.5 goals 64% likely and both teams to score 66%.
The most likely result is home win at 47%.
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Groningen.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives NEC Nijmegen a 47% chance of beating Groningen, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 28%. It expects 1.88 goals from NEC Nijmegen and 1.43 from Groningen, which makes over 2.5 goals 64% likely and both teams to score 66%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64%, based on expected goals of 1.88 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.43 for Groningen.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 66%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.