Spain – La Liga
25 October 2026 · 13:00
HT 2 : 0
Expected goals: 1.13 – 0.72
Our statistical model gives Athletic Club a 45% chance of beating Getafe, puts the draw at 32% and an away win at 23%. It expects 1.13 goals from Athletic Club and 0.72 from Getafe, which makes over 2.5 goals 28% likely and both teams to score 35%.
The most likely result is home win at 45%.
Final score: Athletic Club 4-0 Getafe.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Athletic Club a 45% chance of beating Getafe, puts the draw at 32% and an away win at 23%. It expects 1.13 goals from Athletic Club and 0.72 from Getafe, which makes over 2.5 goals 28% likely and both teams to score 35%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 28%, based on expected goals of 1.13 for Athletic Club and 0.72 for Getafe.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 35%.
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