Italy – Serie A
25 October 2026 · 11:30
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 2.16 – 1.00
Our statistical model gives Inter a 64% chance of beating Fiorentina, puts the draw at 19% and an away win at 17%. It expects 2.16 goals from Inter and 1.00 from Fiorentina, which makes over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The most likely result is home win at 64%.
Final score: Inter 2-1 Fiorentina.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Inter a 64% chance of beating Fiorentina, puts the draw at 19% and an away win at 17%. It expects 2.16 goals from Inter and 1.00 from Fiorentina, which makes over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61%, based on expected goals of 2.16 for Inter and 1.00 for Fiorentina.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 56%.
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