Netherlands – Eredivisie
25 October 2026 · 11:15
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.44
Our statistical model gives Fortuna Sittard a 41% chance of beating Excelsior, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.63 goals from Fortuna Sittard and 1.44 from Excelsior, which makes over 2.5 goals 59% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The most likely result is home win at 41%.
Final score: Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Fortuna Sittard a 41% chance of beating Excelsior, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.63 goals from Fortuna Sittard and 1.44 from Excelsior, which makes over 2.5 goals 59% likely and both teams to score 63%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59%, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.44 for Excelsior.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 63%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.