Italy – Serie A
24 October 2026 · 18:45
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.40 – 0.75
Our statistical model gives Lazio a 53% chance of beating Parma, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 20%. It expects 1.40 goals from Lazio and 0.75 from Parma, which makes over 2.5 goals 36% likely and both teams to score 40%.
The most likely result is home win at 53%.
Final score: Lazio 2-1 Parma.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Lazio a 53% chance of beating Parma, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 20%. It expects 1.40 goals from Lazio and 0.75 from Parma, which makes over 2.5 goals 36% likely and both teams to score 40%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 36%, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Lazio and 0.75 for Parma.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 40%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.