England – League Two
24 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 2 : 1
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.20
Our statistical model gives Rotherham a 42% chance of beating Shrewsbury, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 32%. It expects 1.41 goals from Rotherham and 1.20 from Shrewsbury, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 53%.
The most likely result is home win at 42%.
Final score: Rotherham 3-3 Shrewsbury.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Rotherham a 42% chance of beating Shrewsbury, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 32%. It expects 1.41 goals from Rotherham and 1.20 from Shrewsbury, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 53%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48%, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Rotherham and 1.20 for Shrewsbury.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 53%.
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