England – League Two
24 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.21
Our statistical model gives Crawley Town a 39% chance of beating Tranmere, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 34%. It expects 1.33 goals from Crawley Town and 1.21 from Tranmere, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely result is home win at 39%.
Final score: Crawley Town 1-1 Tranmere.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Crawley Town a 39% chance of beating Tranmere, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 34%. It expects 1.33 goals from Crawley Town and 1.21 from Tranmere, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Crawley Town and 1.21 for Tranmere.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 52%.
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