England – Championship
24 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.87 – 1.02
Our statistical model gives Wolves a 57% chance of beating Watford, puts the draw at 23% and an away win at 20%. It expects 1.87 goals from Wolves and 1.02 from Watford, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 55%.
The most likely result is home win at 57%.
Final score: Wolves 1-0 Watford.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Wolves a 57% chance of beating Watford, puts the draw at 23% and an away win at 20%. It expects 1.87 goals from Wolves and 1.02 from Watford, which makes over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 55%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55%, based on expected goals of 1.87 for Wolves and 1.02 for Watford.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 55%.
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