England – Championship
24 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.13
Our statistical model gives Stoke City a 41% chance of beating Bristol City, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 31%. It expects 1.32 goals from Stoke City and 1.13 from Bristol City, which makes over 2.5 goals 44% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The most likely result is home win at 41%.
Final score: Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Stoke City a 41% chance of beating Bristol City, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 31%. It expects 1.32 goals from Stoke City and 1.13 from Bristol City, which makes over 2.5 goals 44% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44%, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Stoke City and 1.13 for Bristol City.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 50%.
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